All in International Relations
It’s been just over a year since the United States withdrew from the Joint Cooperative Plan of Action (JCPOA or “Iran Deal”) which it originally negotiated with Iran, the E3 (the U.K., France, and Germany), the EU, China, and Russia. Now, President Rouhani has given the remaining signatories to the JCPOA a 60-day period to demonstrate their goodwill and commitment to delivering economic relief and support for Iran’s struggling economy, per the terms of the JCPOA.
According to Adam Segal’s seminal book The Hacked World Order, he describes the cybersecurity term “Zero Day” as an “unknown software vulnerabilit[y] that allow[s] an attacker to access a computer, router, or server; never having detected these flaws before, developers have zero days to fix or patch them.” In the same way, the introduction of cybersecurity, cyber warfare, mass disinformation, cryptocurrencies, the internet of things, and now, the introduction of 5G, has given makers and analysts of foreign policy zero days to catch up and patch the holes in policy. Policymakers must now reckon with the question: Where are the flaws in our foreign policy, and can we patch them in time?
Turks went to the polls on March 31st, unseating Erdoğan’s party — the AKP — in Turkey’s three largest cities. Although the municipal elections were a setback, the Turkish President isn’t likely to face the music anytime soon. But what does the development mean for the opposition parties in Istanbul, Ankara, and Izmir? In Algeria, long-time President Abdelaziz Bouteflika has been finally dethroned, but does his departure reflect real change in governance or is it purely cosmetic?
The European Union is often the subject of intense scrutiny, speculation, and deduction, but what are the key coalitions in the European Union that influence its foreign policy? International Scholar Sara Fay, Chief Editor Cameron Vaské, and our special guest Senior Policy Fellow Josef Janning at ECFR look to the future of the European Union and examine the structure and substance of Europe’s internal coalitions and foreign relations in this episode of The ITS Café.
Much is made of increased competition between the Washington and Beijing around the world. Some experts believe that the two are doomed to outright conflict as China, the rising power, challenges the United States, the established global hegemon. Known as the Thucydides Trap, the phenomena is sometimes seen as an unshakeable reality of shifting global power dynamics. But assuming the Thucydides Trap is inevitable for the U.S. and China is itself a trap.
Senior Editors Liam Kraft, Emily Tatum, and Joshua Stowell and Chief Editor Cameron Vaské discuss the ramifications of rising tensions between Beijing and Washington in a new era of global power competition in this episode of The ITS Café.
Following the historic defeat of May’s Brexit Deal in Parliament, what comes next for the process of Brexit? How did we get here? What will happen to Ireland and Northern Ireland? Will there be a no-deal Brexit, and what is the impact of Brexit on the European Elections? Jason Deegan, Daniel Odin Shaw, Senior Editor Pascal Letendre-Hanns, and Chief Editor Cameron Vaské explore these issues at length in The ITS Café.
Chief Editor and Host Cameron Vaské and Senior Editor for Latin American Affairs Emily Tatum meet for an emergency podcast on the evolving situation in Venezuela hours after President of the National Assembly Juan Guaidó declares himself the legitimate interim President of Venezuela.
Is China’s Belt and Road Initiative a geopolitical instrument, and if so, what’s Beijing’s long game? Are the U.S. and China destined to fall for the Thucydides Trap, or is there a level of Mutually Assured Restraint? Sara Fay, Niko Marcich, Liam Kraft, and Cameron Vaské discuss the rise of China, the Belt and Road Initiative, geopolitics, and compare U.S.-China relations to the Cold War.
“If 2018 has taught me anything, it’s that the unpredictability of diplomacy is a comfort.”
It has been a long year. In 2018 we saw Ukraine and Russia fight over the Sea of Azov; Cuba, Mexico, Brazil, and Colombia elect new Presidents; Jamal Khashoggi murdered in Ankara; the Democrats flip the House, Sri Lanka and the Maldives experience public backlash over the BRI; Trump start a trade war with China, withdraw the U.S. from the JCPOA, and move the U.S. embassy in Israel to Jerusalem; Ukraine’s Orthodox Church break with Russia; Japan and the EU announce the largest ever trade deal; and crises of migration continue in Myanmar and Venezuela.
Grab a coffee, ITS Wonks. It’s time for The Year in Review.
The ITS Café’s biggest team yet reflects on 2018 and looks at the 3 biggest issues in 2019. International Scholars Emily Tatum, Pranav Jain, Pascal Letendre-Hanns, Anna Davidson, Will Truban and Chief Editor Cameron Vaské look at the highlights of 2018 and trends to watch in 2019.